In the Spotlight

News & Features
Fourth District Poll
November 2, 2000
Poll Results | Poll Methodology | Story | Campaign 2000: The 4th District

Name Recognition

Candidate Recognize Favorable Recognize Unfavorable Recognize Neutral Don't Recognize
Betty McCollum 43% 19% 27% 11%
Linda Runbeck 29% 24% 38% 9%
Tom Foley 24% 18% 50% 8%


QUESTION: If the 2000 election for Minnesota's Fourth District congressional seat were held today, would you vote for Betty McCollum, the Democrat, Linda Runbeck, the Republican, or Tom Foley, the Independence Party candidate?

Choice District Men Women Liberal Moderate Conservative
McCollum 41% 37% 45% 84% 34% 2%
Runbeck 29% 32% 26% 4% 21% 73%
Foley 16% 18% 14% 6% 25% 13%
Undecided 14% 13% 15% 6% 20% 12%

Option Gore Voters Bush Voters
McCollum 72% 5%
Runbeck 4% 74%
Foley 14% 13%
Undecided 10% 18%


The Mason-Dixon Minnesota Poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from October 26 through October 27, 2000. A total of 625 registered Minnesota voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they were likely to vote in the November general election.

Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers.A cross-section of exchanges were utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state.  Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled.The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a regional or gender grouping.

Sample Figures:
Men 310 (50%)
Women 315 (50%)

Region Interviews
Minneapolis/St. Paul 350 interviews
Rochester/Southeast 71 interviews
Southwest Minnesota 64 interviews
Northwest Minnesota 68 interviews
Duluth/Northeast 72 interviews

PLEASE NOTE: This report is the property of Mason-Dixon Political/Media Research, Inc. It is not for duplication and/or redistribution. Copies of this report are available only through subscription. Subscribers are prohibited from providing this document to any third party. Any party in an unauthorized possession, engaging in unauthorized use. or involved in the unauthorized duplication or transmission of this document is subject to all applicable criminal and civil penalties.

Poll Copyright 2000, Mason-Dixon Political/Media Research, Inc. All Rights Reserved