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Poll: The race for governor
By MPR News
Minnesota Public Radio
September 17, 2002

Poll tracking | Poll Results | Poll Methodology | Story



Poll Trackings

Moe Name Recognition Favorable Unfavorable Neutral Don't recognize
February 2002 28% 20% 39% 13%
June 2002 34% 20% 33% 13%
September 2002 30% 33% 28% 9%




Pawlenty Name Recognition Favorable Unfavorable Neutral Don't recognize
February 2002 12% 5% 29% 54%
June 2002 19% 8% 38% 35%
September 2002 27% 19% 31% 23%




Penny Name Recognition Favorable Unfavorable Neutral Don't recognize
June 2002 33% 3% 36% 28%
September 2002 40% 16% 31% 13%



2002 Gubernatorial Vote Moe Pawlenty Penny Other/Undecid.
June 2002 32% 22% 23% 23%
September 2002 27% 28% 30% 15%



STATEWIDE NAME RECOGNITION


Candidate Recognize Favorable Recognize Unfavorable Recognize Neutral Don't Recognize
Tim Penny 40% 16% 31% 13%
Roger Moe 30% 33% 28% 9%
Tim Pawlenty 27% 19% 31% 23%
Ken Pentel 7% 8% 36% 49%




Results:

QUESTION: If the 2002 election for Minnesota governor were held today, would you vote for Roger Moe, the Democrat; Tim Pawlenty, the Republican; Tim Penny of the Independence Party; or Ken Pentel of the Green Party?

Candidate State Men Women
Penny 30% 33% 27%
Pawlenty 28% 32% 24%
Moe 27% 23% 31%
Pentel 3% 3% 3%
Undecided 12% 9% 15%



QUESTION: If the only candidates on the ballot were Roger Moe, the Democrat; and Tim Pawlenty, the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Candidate State Men Women
Moe 41% 37% 45%
Pawlenty 36% 40% 32%
Write-in/Would not vote 8% 10% 6%
Undecided 15% 13% 17%




QUESTION: Gubernatorial candidate Tim Penny has said that if he is elected, he will ask Gov. Jesse Ventura to accompany him on an international trade mission. Would you approve or disapprove of using Ventura as a trade ambassador for Minnesota after he leaves office?

Candidate State Men Women
Approve 50% 54% 46%
Disapprove 44% 41% 47%
Not sure 6% 5% 7%



POLL METHODOLOGY

The Mason-Dixon Minnesota Poll was conducted September 12-14, 2002 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. A total of 625 registered Minnesota voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they regularly vote in state elections.

Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges were utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a regional or gender grouping.



Sample Figures:

Men 311 (50%)
Women 314 (50%)

Region Interviews
Minneapolis/St. Paul 347 interviews
Rochester/Southeast 70 interviews
Southwest Minnesota 67 interviews
Northwest Minnesota 69 interviews
Duluth/Northeast 72 interviews


PLEASE NOTE: This report is the property of Mason-Dixon Political/Media Research, Inc. It is not for duplication and/or redistribution. Copies of this report are available only through subscription. Subscribers are prohibited from providing this document to any third party. Any party in an unauthorized possession, engaging in unauthorized use. or involved in the unauthorized duplication or transmission of this document is subject to all applicable criminal and civil penalties.

Poll Copyright 2002, Mason-Dixon Political/Media Research, Inc. All Rights Reserved