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Poll: The race for Senate
By MPR News
Minnesota Public Radio
September 18, 2002

Poll tracking | Poll Results | Poll Methodology | Story



Poll Trackings

Wellstone Name Recognition Favorable Unfavorable Neutral Don't recognize
September 1995 37% 36% 25% 2%
January 1996 42% 30% 27% 1%
May 1996 40% 39% 20% 1%
September 1996 42% 36% 22% --
October 2001 45% 31% 24% 2%
February 2002 48% 30% 20% 2%
June 2002 45% 29% 25% 1%
September 2002 51% 34% 15% 1%




Coleman Name Recognition Favorable Unfavorable Neutral Don't recognize
February 1998 43% 13% 27% 17%
June 1998 39% 18% 27% 16%
August 1998 38% 19% 16% 7%
October 1998 41% 27% 27% 5%
November 1998 41% 21% 31% 7%
October 2001 39% 16% 34% 11%
February 2002 40% 17% 35% 8%
June 2002 43% 21% 33% 3%
September 2002 47% 26% 25% 2%




2002 Senate Vote Wellstone Coleman Others Other/Undecid.
July 2001 48% 44% n/a 8%
October 2001 48% 42% n/a 10%
February 2002 46% 42% n/a 12%
June 2002 44% 41% 2% 13%
September 2002 47% 44% 4% 5%



STATEWIDE NAME RECOGNITION


Candidate Recognize Favorable Recognize Unfavorable Recognize Neutral Don't Recognize
Paul Wellstone 51% 34% 15% 1%
Norm Coleman 47% 26% 25% 2%
Jim Moore 6% 2% 27% 65%
Ray Tricomo 5% 2% 19% 74%




Results:

QUESTION: If the 2002 election for Minnesota's Senate seat were held today, would you vote for Paul Wellstone, the Democrat; Norm Coleman, the Republican; Jim Moore, of the Independence Party; or Ray Tricomo of the Green Party?

Candidate State Men Women
Wellstone 47% 39% 55%
Coleman 44% 52% 36%
Moore 2% 3% 1%
Tricomo 2% 2% 2%
Undecided 5% 4% 6%



POLL METHODOLOGY

The Mason-Dixon Minnesota Poll was conducted September 12-14, 2002 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. A total of 625 registered Minnesota voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they regularly vote in state elections.

Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges were utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a regional or gender grouping.



Sample Figures:

Men 311 (50%)
Women 314 (50%)

Region Interviews
Minneapolis/St. Paul 347 interviews
Rochester/Southeast 70 interviews
Southwest Minnesota 67 interviews
Northwest Minnesota 69 interviews
Duluth/Northeast 72 interviews


PLEASE NOTE: This report is the property of Mason-Dixon Political/Media Research, Inc. It is not for duplication and/or redistribution. Copies of this report are available only through subscription. Subscribers are prohibited from providing this document to any third party. Any party in an unauthorized possession, engaging in unauthorized use. or involved in the unauthorized duplication or transmission of this document is subject to all applicable criminal and civil penalties.

Poll Copyright 2002, Mason-Dixon Political/Media Research, Inc. All Rights Reserved