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By MPR News
Minnesota Public Radio
September 18, 2002
Poll tracking |
Poll Results | Poll
Methodology | Story
Poll Trackings
Wellstone Name Recognition
Favorable
Unfavorable
Neutral
Don't recognize
September 1995
37%
36%
25%
2%
January 1996
42%
30%
27%
1%
May 1996
40%
39%
20%
1%
September 1996
42%
36%
22%
--
October 2001
45%
31%
24%
2%
February 2002
48%
30%
20%
2%
June 2002
45%
29%
25%
1%
September 2002
51%
34%
15%
1%
Coleman Name Recognition
Favorable
Unfavorable
Neutral
Don't recognize
February 1998
43%
13%
27%
17%
June 1998
39%
18%
27%
16%
August 1998
38%
19%
16%
7%
October 1998
41%
27%
27%
5%
November 1998
41%
21%
31%
7%
October 2001
39%
16%
34%
11%
February 2002
40%
17%
35%
8%
June 2002
43%
21%
33%
3%
September 2002
47%
26%
25%
2%
Results: QUESTION: If the 2002 election for Minnesota's Senate seat were held today, would you vote for Paul Wellstone, the Democrat; Norm Coleman, the Republican; Jim Moore, of the Independence Party; or Ray Tricomo of the Green Party? The Mason-Dixon Minnesota Poll was conducted September 12-14, 2002 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. A total of 625 registered Minnesota voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they regularly vote in state elections.
Men 311 (50%)
2002 Senate Vote
Wellstone
Coleman
Others
Other/Undecid.
July 2001
48%
44%
n/a
8%
October 2001
48%
42%
n/a
10%
February 2002
46%
42%
n/a
12%
June 2002
44%
41%
2%
13%
September 2002
47%
44%
4%
5%
STATEWIDE NAME RECOGNITION
Candidate
Recognize Favorable
Recognize Unfavorable
Recognize Neutral
Don't Recognize
Paul Wellstone
51%
34%
15%
1%
Norm Coleman
47%
26%
25%
2%
Jim Moore
6%
2%
27%
65%
Ray Tricomo
5%
2%
19%
74%
Candidate
State
Men
Women
Wellstone
47%
39%
55%
Coleman
44%
52%
36%
Moore
2%
3%
1%
Tricomo
2%
2%
2%
Undecided
5%
4%
6%
Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges were utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out county.
The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a regional or gender grouping.
Sample Figures:
Women 314 (50%)
Region
Interviews
Minneapolis/St. Paul
347 interviews
Rochester/Southeast
70 interviews
Southwest Minnesota
67 interviews
Northwest Minnesota
69 interviews
Duluth/Northeast
72 interviews
PLEASE NOTE: This report is the property of Mason-Dixon
Political/Media Research, Inc. It is not for duplication and/or
redistribution. Copies of this report are available only through
subscription. Subscribers are prohibited from providing this
document to any third party. Any party in an unauthorized
possession, engaging in unauthorized use. or involved in the
unauthorized duplication or transmission of this document is
subject to all applicable criminal and civil penalties.
Poll Copyright 2002, Mason-Dixon Political/Media
Research, Inc. All Rights Reserved
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