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MPR Poll Results: The race for president


Favorability Ratings

Candidate
Recognize Favorable
Recognize Unfavorable
Recognize Neutral
Don't Recognize
49%
38%
13%
--
40%
39%
21%
--
7%
47%
43%
3%

QUESTION: If the 2004 presidential election were held today, who would you vote for?

Region
Bush
Kerry
Nader
Undecided
State
46%
44%
1%
9%
Hennepin/Ramsey
38%
55%
1%
6%
Twin Cities suburbs
55%
35%
1%
8%
Rochester/Southeast
51%
40%
--
9%
Southwest Minnesota
50%
37%
--
13%
Northwest Minnesota
54%
32%
--
14%
Duluth/Northeast
36%
52%
3%
10%

Result by gender
Bush
Kerry
Nader
Undecided
Men
48%
43%
1%
8%
Women
44%
45%
1%
10%

QUESTION: For whom would you vote if the only candidates on the ballot were George W. Bush, the Republican, and John Kerry, the Democrat?

Option
State
Men
Women
Bush
46%
48%
44%
Kerry
45%
44%
46%
Undecided
9%
8%
10%

QUESTION: How would you rate the performance of George W. Bush as president?

Option
State
Men
Women
Excellent
21%
24%
18%
Good
31%
33%
29%
Fair
21%
19%
23%
Poor
26%
23%
29%
Undecided
1%
1%
1%

QUESTION: Of the following issues, which one do you feel will be the most influential in your voting decision in the November election for national offices, such as president and the U.S. House?

Option
Response
The economy, jobs, and unemployment
28%
Homeland security and the war on terror
19%
The situation in Iraq
17%
Moral issues and family values
13%
Health care
9%
Education
6%
Social Security and Medicare
3%
Environment
3%
Not sure
3%

QUESTION: Who do you feel would do a better job at handling the issues related to the economy and unemployement?

Option
Result
Bush
45%
Kerry
44%
Nader
4%
Not sure
7%

QUESTION: Who do you feel would do a better job at handling the issues related to the situation in Iraq?

Option
Result
Bush
51%
Kerry
37%
Nader
1%
Not sure
11%

QUESTION: Who do you feel would do a better job at handling the issues related to homeland security and terrorism?

Option
Result
Bush
56%
Kerry
35%
Nader
--
Not sure
9%

QUESTION: Who do you feel would do a better job at handling the issues related to family values?

Option
Result
Bush
54%
Kerry
36%
Nader
1%
Not sure
9%

QUESTION: In making your decision about who to vote for for president, how important is the discussion about John Kerry's military record during the Vietnam War era?

Option
Result
Very important
7%
Somewhat important
18%
Not too important
23%
Not important
52%

QUESTION: In general, what do you tend to think about John Kerry's performance during the Vietnam War?

Option
Result
It was admirable
30%
I have concerns about what he did
23%
It doesn't matter to me
42%
Not sure
5%

QUESTION: In making your decision about who to vote for for president, how important is the discussion about George Bush's military record during the Vietnam War era?

Option
Result
Very important
9%
Somewhat important
14%
Not too important
22%
Not important
54
Not sure
1%

QUESTION: In general, what do you tend to think about George Bush's performance during the Vietnam War?

Option
Result
It was admirable
9%
I have concerns about what he did
14%
It doesn't matter to me
68%
Not sure
9%


POLL METHODOLOGY

The Mason-Dixon Minnesota Poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. September 11 through September 14, 2004. A total of 625 registered Minnesota voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they were likely to vote in the November general election. Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turnout by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a regional or gender grouping.

Sample Figures: Men 310(50%)
Women 315 (50%)

Region Interviews
Hennepin/Ramsey counties 210 interviews
Twin Cities suburbs 150 interviews
Rochester/Southeast 70 interviews
Southwest Minnesota 60 interviews
Northwest Minnesota 65 interviews
Duluth/Northeast 70 interviews

PLEASE NOTE: This report is the property of Mason-Dixon Political/Media Research, Inc. It is not for duplication and/or redistribution. Copies of this report are available only through subscription. Subscribers are prohibited from providing this document to any third party. Any party in an unauthorized possession, engaging in unauthorized use. or involved in the unauthorized duplication or transmission of this document is subject to all applicable criminal and civil penalties.

Poll Copyright 2004, Mason-Dixon Political/Media Research, Inc. All Rights Reserved


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