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Poll results: The race for president 2004

Name Recognition


Candidate Recognize Favorable Recognize Unfavorable Recognize Neutral Don't Recognize
George W. Bush 45% 39% 16% --
John Kerry 40% 15% 38% 7%
Wesley Clark 29% 22% 31% 18%
John Edwards 28% 13% 44% 15%
Joe Lieberman 27% 31% 39% 3%
Howard Dean 21% 35% 42% 2%

QUESTION: If the 2004 presidential election were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were George W. Bush, the Republican, and Howard Dean, the Democrat?

Candidate
State
Men
Women
Bush
49%
57%
41%
Dean
35%
30%
40%
Undecided
16%
13%
19%

QUESTION: If the 2004 presidential election were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were George W. Bush, the Republican, and John Kerry, the Democrat?

Candidate
State
Men
Women
Kerry
43%
37%
49%
Bush
41%
49%
33%
Undecided
16%
14%
18%

QUESTION: If the 2004 presidential election were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were George W. Bush, the Republican, and Wesley Clark, the Democrat?

Candidate
State
Men
Women
Bush
44%
52%
36%
Clark
39%
35%
43%
Undecided
17%
13%
21%

QUESTION: If the 2004 presidential election were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were George W. Bush, the Republican, and John Edwards, the Democrat?

Candidate
State
Men
Women
Bush
45%
55%
35%
Edwards
39%
33%
45%
Undecided
16%
12%
20%

QUESTION: If the 2004 presidential election were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were George W. Bush, the Republican, and Joe Lieberman, the Democrat?

Candidate
State
Men
Women
Bush
47%
55%
39%
Lieberman
39%
34%
44%
Undecided
14%
11%
17%

QUESTION: How would you rate the performance of George W. Bush as president?

Candidate
State
Men
Women
Excellent
16%
17%
15%
Good
37%
41%
33%
Fair
23%
21%
25%
Poor
24%
21%
27%
Undecided
--
--
--

POLL METHODOLOGY

The Mason-Dixon Minnesota Poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from January 26 through January 28, 2004. A total of 625 registered Minnesota voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they regularly vote in state elections.

Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges were utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a regional or gender grouping.

Sample Figures:

Men 310 (50%)
Women 315 (50%)

Region Interviews
Minneapois-St. Paul 351 interviews
Rochester/Southeast 73 interviews
Southwest Minnesota 64 interviews
Northwest Minnesota 68 interviews
Duluth/Northeast 69 interviews

PLEASE NOTE: This report is the property of Mason-Dixon Political/Media Research, Inc. It is not for duplication and/or redistribution. Copies of this report are available only through subscription. Subscribers are prohibited from providing this document to any third party. Any party in an unauthorized possession, engaging in unauthorized use. or involved in the unauthorized duplication or transmission of this document is subject to all applicable criminal and civil penalties.

Poll Copyright 2004, Mason-Dixon Political/Media Research, Inc. All Rights Reserved


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