In the Spotlight

News & Features
Minnesota Presidential Poll
July 12, 2000
Poll Results | Poll Methodology | Story | Previous Presidential Poll

Name Recognition (Asked of All Respondents)

Candidate Recognize Favorable Recognize Unfavorable Recognize Neutral Don't Recognize
George W. Bush 39% 26% 34% 1%
Al Gore 34% 34% 32% -
Ralph Nader 19% 31% 36% 14%
Pat Buchanan 12% 45% 39% 4%

QUESTION: If the 2000 election for President were held today, would you vote for Al Gore, the Democrat, George W. Bush, the Republican, Pat Buchanan, the Reform Party candidate, or Ralph Nader, the Green Party candidate?

Candidate State Men Women
Bush 43% 46% 40%
Gore 40% 34% 46%
Nader 5% 6% 4%
Buchanan 3% 5% 1%
Undecided 9% 9% 9%

Tracking Previous Ratings

Al Gore Favorable Unfavorable Neutral Undecided
July 2000 34% 34% 32% --
July 1999 37% 39% 24% --

George W. Bush Favorable Unfavorable Neutral Undecided
July 2000 39% 26% 34% 1%
July 1999 46% 16% 38% --

Presidential Preference
Date of Poll Gore Bush Buchanan Nader Undecided
July 2000 40% 43% 3% 5% 9%
February 2000 43% 40% 4% -- 13%
July 1999 39% 44% -- -- 17%

QUESTION: Which of the following will be MOST important for you in determining which presidential candidate you will vote for? (Order Rotated)

Motivation State
Positions on issues 44%
Moral character 23%
Experience to do the job 15%
Personal qualities & skills 11%
Other* 3%
Not sure* 4%
* Not read.

The Mason-Dixon Minnesota Poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from July 6 through July 8, 2000. A total of 620 registered Minnesota voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they regularly vote in state elections.

Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges were utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus four percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a regional or gender grouping.

This survey also includes and over-sampling of 304 likely Democratic primary voters statewide. This over-sampling was only on the questions related to the Democratic primary election, and not on those regarding the general election. The margin for error on the Democratic primary sample is plus or minus six percent.

Sample Figures:
Men 304 (49%)
Women 316 (51%)

Region Interviews
Minneapolis/St. Paul 346 interviews
Rochester/Southeast 72 interviews
Southwest Minnesota 64 interviews
Northwest Minnesota 67 interviews
Duluth/Northeast 71 interviews

PLEASE NOTE: This report is the property of Mason-Dixon Political/Media Research, Inc. It is not for duplication and/or redistribution. Copies of this report are available only through subscription. Subscribers are prohibited from providing this document to any third party. Any party in an unauthorized possession, engaging in unauthorized use. or involved in the unauthorized duplication or transmission of this document is subject to all applicable criminal and civil penalties.

Poll Copyright 2000, Mason-Dixon Political/Media Research, Inc. All Rights Reserved