Minnesota Presidential Poll
July 12, 2000
Poll Results | Poll
Methodology | Story | Previous Presidential Poll
Name Recognition (Asked of All Respondents)
Candidate |
Recognize Favorable |
Recognize Unfavorable |
Recognize Neutral |
Don't Recognize |
George W. Bush |
39% |
26% |
34% |
1% |
Al Gore |
34% |
34% |
32% |
- |
Ralph Nader |
19% |
31% |
36% |
14% |
Pat Buchanan |
12% |
45% |
39% |
4% |
QUESTION: If the 2000 election for President were held today, would you vote for Al Gore, the Democrat, George W. Bush, the Republican, Pat Buchanan, the Reform Party candidate, or Ralph Nader, the Green Party candidate?
Candidate |
State |
Men |
Women |
Bush |
43% |
46% |
40% |
Gore |
40% |
34% |
46% |
Nader |
5% |
6% |
4% |
Buchanan |
3% |
5% |
1% |
Undecided |
9% |
9% |
9% |
Tracking Previous Ratings
Al Gore |
Favorable |
Unfavorable |
Neutral |
Undecided |
July 2000 |
34% |
34% |
32% |
-- |
July 1999 |
37% |
39% |
24% |
-- |
George W. Bush |
Favorable |
Unfavorable |
Neutral |
Undecided |
July 2000 |
39% |
26% |
34% |
1% |
July 1999 |
46% |
16% |
38% |
-- |
Presidential Preference
Date of Poll |
Gore |
Bush |
Buchanan |
Nader |
Undecided |
July 2000 |
40% |
43% |
3% |
5% |
9% |
February 2000 |
43% |
40% |
4% |
-- |
13% |
July 1999 |
39% |
44% |
-- |
-- |
17% |
QUESTION: Which of the following will be MOST important for you in determining which presidential candidate you will vote for? (Order Rotated)
Motivation |
State |
Positions on issues |
44% |
Moral character |
23% |
Experience to do the job |
15% |
Personal qualities & skills |
11% |
Other* |
3% |
Not sure* |
4% |
* Not read. |
POLL METHODOLOGY
The Mason-Dixon Minnesota Poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from July 6 through July 8, 2000. A total of 620 registered Minnesota voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they regularly vote in state elections.
Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges were utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out county.
The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus four percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a regional or gender grouping.
This survey also includes and over-sampling of 304 likely Democratic primary voters statewide. This over-sampling was only on the questions related to the Democratic primary election, and not on those regarding the general election. The margin for error on the Democratic primary sample is plus or minus six percent.
Sample Figures:
Men 304 (49%)
Women 316 (51%)
Region |
Interviews |
Minneapolis/St. Paul |
346 interviews |
Rochester/Southeast |
72 interviews |
Southwest Minnesota |
64 interviews |
Northwest Minnesota |
67 interviews |
Duluth/Northeast |
71 interviews |
PLEASE NOTE: This report is the property of Mason-Dixon
Political/Media Research, Inc. It is not for duplication and/or
redistribution. Copies of this report are available only through
subscription. Subscribers are prohibited from providing this
document to any third party. Any party in an unauthorized
possession, engaging in unauthorized use. or involved in the
unauthorized duplication or transmission of this document is
subject to all applicable criminal and civil penalties.
Poll Copyright 2000, Mason-Dixon Political/Media
Research, Inc. All Rights Reserved